It will seem incredibly early in the year to be thinking about European football (unless you are a Wolves fan), but Liverpools face-off with Chelsea in the UEFA Super Cup has a wonderful feel to it — an interesting curtain-raiser to the continental football season.
Champions League winners Liverpool very much picked up from where they left off campaign, placing newly-promoted Norwich. In what was a concerning opening screen for Frank Lampard to digest, were very much on the receiving end of a demolition job at Old Trafford. The barefaced stats seem OK as far as Chelsea are worried, but a 2.18-1.33 xG deficit tells a more damning story; Chelsea had lots of efforts, but David de Gea was rarely stretched. ??
It needs to be quite interesting on Wednesday, however, the result is beyond any doubt in my view; Chelsea defended poorly against Manchester United, and while they did sabotage the hosts early on, its not enough to convince me they will lay much of a glove on Jurgen Klopps guys.
There are not enough goals in this Chelsea side. Tammy Abraham along with Olivier Giroud wont cut the mustard as a top six centre-forward should, while the loss of Eden Hazard may also have a while to get over.
You know exactly what you get now with Liverpool, and itll be a lot for Chelsea.
At 17/10, Liverpool looks a bet. The last meeting between those two finished 2-0 from the Reds favour, and also Liverpool seem so much stronger in all sections than the adversaries of Wednesday. ??
We were treated to our talk of VAR-fuelled controversy in Europe last season, and of what constitutes a penalty being far stricter than the Premier Leagues with UEFAs interpretation, Im financing a spot-kick to be awarded.
We saw Chelsea concede a penalty against Manchester United this weekend–Kurt Zouma the guilty party–and contemplating only 3 sides obtained more penalties in the Premier League compared to Liverpool last year, I would suggest the odds of the referee pointing to the spot are rather high, especially since this is a cup final (or types ).
Obviously, Chelsea can win a penalty, but in Any Event, its not outlandish believe VAR will take centre stage. ??
I have gone a rogue but it is for Virgil Van Dijk to score first.
Hear me out here…
Though his record in the first portion of his Liverpool career was strangely plump for a man of such stature, VVD has now scored seven goals in his last 23 looks for club and country, and it is a solid return from centre-back.
Naturally, Liverpool have a whole number of gamers that can (and probably will) score on Wednesday, but Van Dijk has already opened his account for the season with a goal against Norwich, and 25/1 for the Dutchman to come across the web first against what seems like a pretty porous Chelsea is probably worth a nibble.
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